St. Philbert de Grand Lieu vs Challans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
9º
14º
11º
33
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
32% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
68% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
FON
1 - 1
SPG
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SPG
0 - 2
QUE
6%
14%
80%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ASC
3 - 2
SPG
37%
23%
39%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SPG
4 - 0
ESO
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 1
PAU
3%
8%
89%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
ESO
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LAT
1 - 1
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
ANG
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
USS
2 - 1
CHA
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 2
SAB
55%
22%
24%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |