St. Peter vs Marchfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SPR
1 - 2
STP
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
STP
0 - 4
KRE
12%
17%
71%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GAF
2 - 1
STP
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
STP
1 - 1
WAI
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
STP
1 - 1
LEO
17%
21%
63%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
SCW
0 - 3
MAN
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 2
SCR
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ARD
1 - 3
MAN
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
ZWE
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
FCM
1 - 1
MAN
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |