Bundesliga Round 28

FC St Pauli vs Werder Bremen analysis

FC St Pauli Werder Bremen
77 ELO 87
0% Tilt -1.3%
111º General ELO ranking 68º
17º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
30.3%
FC St Pauli
26.5%
Draw
43.2%
Werder Bremen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
FC St Pauli
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
43.2%
Win probability
Werder Bremen
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC St Pauli
+4%
+7%
Werder Bremen

ELO progression

FC St Pauli
Werder Bremen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC St Pauli
FC St Pauli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 1996
BYM
Bayern München
1 - 1
FC St Pauli
STP
75%
16%
9%
77 89 12 0
06 Apr. 1996
STP
FC St Pauli
2 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
EIN
32%
26%
42%
77 82 5 0
02 Apr. 1996
STP
FC St Pauli
2 - 1
B. Leverkusen
LEV
25%
25%
50%
76 87 11 +1
30 Mar. 1996
STU
Stuttgart
1 - 1
FC St Pauli
STP
74%
17%
10%
76 84 8 0
24 Mar. 1996
STP
FC St Pauli
3 - 2
Hansa Rostock
ROS
42%
27%
31%
76 79 3 0

Matches

Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 1996
BRE
Werder Bremen
2 - 0
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
47%
24%
29%
86 87 1 0
06 Apr. 1996
BVB
B. Dortmund
1 - 1
Werder Bremen
BRE
62%
21%
17%
86 89 3 0
30 Mar. 1996
BRE
Werder Bremen
2 - 1
B. Leverkusen
LEV
44%
25%
31%
86 87 1 0
23 Mar. 1996
KAI
Kaiserslautern
0 - 0
Werder Bremen
BRE
49%
25%
26%
86 86 0 0
15 Mar. 1996
BRE
Werder Bremen
0 - 2
SC Freiburg
SCF
58%
22%
20%
86 83 3 0