2. Liga Round 21

FC St Pauli vs Paderborn analysis

FC St Pauli Paderborn
74 ELO 73
3.3% Tilt 20.4%
91º General ELO ranking 187º
17º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
41.5%
FC St Pauli
25.5%
Draw
33%
Paderborn

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
FC St Pauli
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33%
Win probability
Paderborn
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC St Pauli
-1%
+1%
Paderborn

ELO progression

FC St Pauli
Paderborn
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC St Pauli
FC St Pauli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2022
HSV
Hamburger SV
2 - 1
FC St Pauli
STP
46%
24%
30%
74 77 3 0
18 Jan. 2022
STP
FC St Pauli
2 - 1
B. Dortmund
BVB
6%
13%
81%
73 90 17 +1
15 Jan. 2022
STP
FC St Pauli
2 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
62%
22%
16%
73 62 11 0
17 Dec. 2021
HOL
Holstein Kiel
3 - 0
FC St Pauli
STP
33%
25%
42%
74 72 2 -1
11 Dec. 2021
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 - 1
FC St Pauli
STP
35%
25%
40%
74 73 1 0

Matches

Paderborn
Paderborn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2022
PAD
Paderborn
3 - 4
Werder Bremen
BRE
33%
23%
43%
73 78 5 0
15 Jan. 2022
FCN
Nürnberg
1 - 2
Paderborn
PAD
37%
26%
37%
73 72 1 0
08 Jan. 2022
VER
Verl
0 - 2
Paderborn
PAD
15%
19%
66%
73 58 15 0
18 Dec. 2021
PAD
Paderborn
1 - 2
Heidenheim
HEI
50%
24%
26%
74 72 2 -1
11 Dec. 2021
PAD
Paderborn
0 - 1
Darmstadt 98
DAR
40%
23%
37%
74 76 2 0