FC St Pauli vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
51.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
STP
2 - 2
HER
20%
22%
57%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
STP
4 - 0
BWL
85%
12%
4%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
HAN
0 - 2
STP
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
SSV
3 - 0
STP
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
STP
1 - 2
HAN
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
HAL
2 - 2
HOL
16%
20%
64%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
WOL
0 - 1
HOL
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 1
BIF
37%
26%
38%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 2
RAN
46%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 5
KOL
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |