FC St Pauli vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 1
STP
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2015 |
STP
0 - 1
SGF
37%
27%
37%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
SVS
0 - 0
STP
34%
27%
40%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
PAD
0 - 2
STP
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
STP
2 - 0
WIN
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
ERZ
0 - 1
DAR
37%
29%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
F95
2 - 3
ERZ
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
ERZ
2 - 0
RBL
27%
27%
47%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 0
ERZ
71%
19%
11%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BOC
1 - 1
ERZ
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |