FC St Pauli vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
EIN
2 - 1
STP
16%
21%
63%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2011 |
EIN
1 - 1
STP
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
STP
2 - 0
ING
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
M05
2 - 1
STP
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
STP
1 - 8
BYM
8%
16%
76%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
KSC
3 - 1
AAA
39%
24%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
AAA
0 - 2
EBT
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 0
AAA
38%
27%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
AAA
1 - 1
ARB
74%
17%
10%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
F95
3 - 1
AAA
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |