FC St Pauli vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
RWA
0 - 2
STP
21%
24%
55%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
PAD
2 - 1
STP
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
STP
2 - 2
SGF
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
TUS
1 - 5
STP
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
STP
3 - 0
FCU
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
AAA
3 - 1
KSC
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
MSV
0 - 2
AAA
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
AAA
1 - 1
PAD
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2009 |
SGF
0 - 2
AAA
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
AAA
0 - 2
RWA
76%
16%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -2 |