St. Pauli II vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
56.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
VHG
0 - 8
STP
40%
23%
38%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
STP
5 - 1
OSD
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
STP
8 - 0
DER
62%
20%
19%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
HAM
1 - 1
STP
48%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
EIN
0 - 0
STP
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
CAD
1 - 2
LUB
12%
19%
69%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
LUB
5 - 2
HSV
9%
16%
75%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ROS
0 - 1
LUB
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
LUB
2 - 0
ALT
83%
13%
5%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
HOL
0 - 5
LUB
18%
21%
61%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |