St. Pauli II vs VfB Lübeck II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
OBE
1 - 0
STP
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
STP
3 - 1
OSS
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
STP
1 - 0
MEP
45%
26%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
STP
2 - 0
HUL
70%
19%
12%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
HAN
2 - 0
STP
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
LUB
0 - 2
HEE
21%
24%
55%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
SVL
2 - 0
LUB
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
LUB
1 - 2
OBE
17%
22%
61%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
LUB
2 - 3
ENO
27%
23%
50%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
LUB
0 - 9
ALT
16%
21%
63%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -2 |