St. Pauli II vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
49.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
RBL
1 - 1
STP
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
STP
3 - 1
MEU
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
STP
3 - 1
HAN
30%
25%
46%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ENE
1 - 2
STP
61%
21%
19%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
STP
0 - 2
PLA
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
HOL
2 - 0
MSV
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
HOL
5 - 2
ENE
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
PLA
2 - 1
HOL
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
HOL
6 - 0
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MAG
1 - 1
HOL
25%
26%
50%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |