St. Pauli II vs Hertha BSC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
STP
2 - 2
WSV
43%
23%
34%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MAG
2 - 2
STP
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
STP
1 - 3
LUB
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MEP
1 - 0
STP
38%
24%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
STP
2 - 2
HAL
39%
28%
34%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hertha BSC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
HER
5 - 0
ENE
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
HAN
5 - 2
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
LUB
35%
25%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
HAV
4 - 1
HER
47%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
WSV
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |