St Patrick's vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
CAO
1 - 0
STP
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
STP
1 - 0
SLR
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ATH
0 - 2
STP
17%
25%
58%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
STP
0 - 5
WAR
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 1
STP
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
UCD
0 - 0
BOH
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
DRO
4 - 0
UCD
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
UCD
1 - 6
DER
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
CAO
2 - 1
UCD
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
UCD
3 - 2
BRA
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | 0 |