St Patrick's vs Shelbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
9º
3º
60
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
STP
1 - 1
DER
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 2
STP
39%
24%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
STP
2 - 0
SLR
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
STP
1 - 3
WEX
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
STP
6 - 0
BRW
85%
11%
3%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Shelbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
SHE
0 - 0
DRO
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 1
GAL
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 0
BRW
78%
15%
8%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SHE
2 - 1
TRE
61%
20%
19%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SHE
3 - 0
DRO
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |