Conference League qualifiers Tercera Ronda. Final

Global 1-2

St Patrick's vs CSKA Sofia analysis

St Patrick's CSKA Sofia
68 ELO 78
-3% Tilt -9.7%
724º General ELO ranking 514º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
35.5%
St Patrick's
26.6%
Draw
37.9%
CSKA Sofia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
St Patrick's
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.9%
Win probability
CSKA Sofia
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

St Patrick's
CSKA Sofia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St Patrick's
St Patrick's
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2022
CSK
CSKA Sofia
0 - 1
St Patrick's
STP
64%
21%
15%
68 78 10 0
31 Jul. 2022
STP
St Patrick's
2 - 3
Waterford United
WAT
56%
22%
22%
69 61 8 -1
28 Jul. 2022
NSM
NS Mura
0 - 0
St Patrick's
STP
60%
21%
19%
69 74 5 0
21 Jul. 2022
STP
St Patrick's
1 - 1
NS Mura
NSM
34%
25%
42%
69 74 5 0
15 Jul. 2022
STP
St Patrick's
1 - 1
Dundalk
DUN
34%
28%
38%
69 74 5 0

Matches

CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2022
CSK
CSKA Sofia
0 - 1
St Patrick's
STP
64%
21%
15%
78 68 10 0
31 Jul. 2022
CSK
CSKA Sofia
5 - 1
Beroe
BER
54%
25%
22%
77 72 5 +1
28 Jul. 2022
CSK
CSKA Sofia
4 - 0
Makedonija GP
MAK
60%
22%
18%
76 66 10 +1
25 Jul. 2022
CSK
CSKA Sofia
1 - 0
Cherno More Varna
CVA
47%
27%
26%
76 77 1 0
21 Jul. 2022
MAK
Makedonija GP
0 - 0
CSKA Sofia
CSK
29%
26%
45%
76 66 10 0
X