Cup . Last 16
Global 5-5
St. Mirren vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
48.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
STM
1 - 1
HAM
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
HIB
2 - 2
STM
79%
14%
7%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
STM
0 - 0
ABE
14%
24%
62%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
GLA
1 - 0
STM
82%
13%
5%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
STM
3 - 0
BRX
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
MHE
0 - 4
CEL
15%
20%
66%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
LIV
1 - 0
MHE
36%
28%
37%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MHE
0 - 0
HIB
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
ABE
0 - 1
MHE
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 3
MHE
21%
22%
57%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |