St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1901 |
TLA
0 - 1
STM
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1901 |
HOM
2 - 0
STM
65%
19%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1901 |
CEL
3 - 1
STM
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1901 |
STM
1 - 1
HIB
36%
24%
40%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1901 |
STM
3 - 0
DUN
63%
19%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1901 |
KIL
1 - 2
TLA
53%
23%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1901 |
HIB
5 - 0
KIL
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1901 |
KIL
4 - 0
DUN
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1901 |
TLA
0 - 0
KIL
53%
20%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1901 |
KIL
1 - 0
HOM
27%
23%
50%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |