SPL Round 25

St. Mirren vs Falkirk analysis

St. Mirren Falkirk
68 ELO 72
-20.3% Tilt -14.3%
583º General ELO ranking 435º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
32.8%
St. Mirren
28.8%
Draw
38.4%
Falkirk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
St. Mirren
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
38.4%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
St. Mirren
+7%
-2%
Falkirk

ELO progression

St. Mirren
Falkirk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Feb. 2009
MHE
Motherwell
1 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
65%
20%
15%
68 73 5 0
31 Jan. 2009
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
35%
30%
35%
68 72 4 0
24 Jan. 2009
DUN
Dundee United
3 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
62%
24%
14%
68 78 10 0
17 Jan. 2009
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
65%
22%
14%
69 76 7 -1
13 Jan. 2009
BRE
Brechin City
1 - 3
St. Mirren
STM
45%
25%
31%
68 61 7 +1

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Feb. 2009
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
0 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
63%
21%
16%
71 81 10 0
31 Jan. 2009
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
31%
27%
42%
71 79 8 0
27 Jan. 2009
GLA
Rangers
3 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
67%
19%
13%
71 82 11 0
24 Jan. 2009
MHE
Motherwell
1 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
53%
24%
23%
71 73 2 0
17 Jan. 2009
GLA
Rangers
3 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
65%
21%
14%
71 83 12 0