Scottish Championship Round 15

St. Mirren vs Dumbarton analysis

St. Mirren Dumbarton
62 ELO 56
9.2% Tilt 19.2%
599º General ELO ranking 3914º
11º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
67.4%
St. Mirren
19.5%
Draw
13.1%
Dumbarton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
St. Mirren
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.1%
Win probability
Dumbarton
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
St. Mirren
+6%
-11%
Dumbarton

ELO progression

St. Mirren
Dumbarton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 2017
STM
St. Mirren
3 - 1
Livingston
LIV
42%
25%
33%
62 65 3 0
25 Nov. 2017
ICT
Inverness CT
0 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
49%
25%
26%
61 65 4 +1
18 Nov. 2017
LOT
Lothian Hutchison
1 - 7
St. Mirren
STM
20%
20%
60%
61 48 13 0
04 Nov. 2017
DUN
Dundee United
2 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
52%
24%
25%
62 65 3 -1
28 Oct. 2017
STM
St. Mirren
2 - 2
Greenock Morton
GRE
64%
21%
15%
62 56 6 0

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 2017
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 2
Queen of the South
QOS
37%
26%
37%
54 59 5 0
25 Nov. 2017
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 - 2
Dumbarton
DUM
68%
19%
13%
54 62 8 0
18 Nov. 2017
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 0
Elgin City
ELG
43%
24%
33%
54 53 1 0
11 Nov. 2017
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
27%
24%
48%
52 61 9 +2
04 Nov. 2017
BRE
Brechin City
0 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
27%
24%
50%
51 44 7 +1