SPL Round 17

St. Mirren vs Dumbarton analysis

St. Mirren Dumbarton
78 ELO 62
3.7% Tilt 7%
586º General ELO ranking 4034º
11º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
72.8%
St. Mirren
17%
Draw
10.2%
Dumbarton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
St. Mirren
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.2%
Win probability
Dumbarton
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
St. Mirren
+7%
+32%
Dumbarton

ELO progression

St. Mirren
Dumbarton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 1984
CEL
Celtic
7 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
66%
19%
15%
78 83 5 0
17 Nov. 1984
STM
St. Mirren
2 - 1
Dundee
DUN
65%
20%
15%
78 73 5 0
10 Nov. 1984
STM
St. Mirren
2 - 3
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
65%
21%
15%
78 74 4 0
03 Nov. 1984
DUN
Dundee United
3 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
64%
20%
16%
79 83 4 -1
27 Oct. 1984
STM
St. Mirren
2 - 1
Greenock Morton
GRE
73%
17%
11%
79 60 19 0

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 1984
ABE
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
83%
12%
5%
62 83 21 0
17 Nov. 1984
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 2
Hibernian FC
HIB
41%
28%
31%
61 74 13 +1
10 Nov. 1984
CEL
Celtic
2 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
84%
11%
5%
61 83 22 0
03 Nov. 1984
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
42%
27%
31%
62 74 12 -1
27 Oct. 1984
DUN
Dundee
1 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
75%
15%
10%
62 74 12 0