St. Martin im Muhlreis vs Zebau Bad Ischl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
12.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
9º
5º
36
3º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 55.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 44.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Martin im Muhlreis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
SVW
6 - 2
STM
45%
22%
33%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
STM
3 - 0
PWD
54%
20%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OED
2 - 2
STM
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
STM
2 - 1
60%
21%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
STM
0 - 0
UMA
72%
16%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Zebau Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SVZ
1 - 5
UNI
49%
21%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FRI
2 - 3
SVZ
35%
21%
44%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SVW
4 - 1
SVZ
66%
16%
17%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SVZ
1 - 5
PWD
36%
21%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
OED
3 - 2
SVZ
69%
16%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |