Scottish Premiership round 28

St. Johnstone vs St. Mirren analysis

St. Johnstone St. Mirren
72 ELO 71
-2.7% Tilt -3.5%
1268º General ELO ranking 622º
18º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
47.7%
St. Johnstone
26.7%
Draw
25.6%
St. Mirren

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
St. Johnstone
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.6%
Win probability
St. Mirren
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
St. Johnstone
-8%
+3%
St. Mirren

ELO progression

St. Johnstone
St. Mirren
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St. Johnstone
St. Johnstone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2013
STJ
St. Johnstone
1 - 1
Celtic
CEL
23%
25%
52%
71 83 12 0
16 Feb. 2013
ROS
Ross County FC
1 - 0
St. Johnstone
STJ
51%
25%
24%
72 72 0 -1
11 Feb. 2013
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 3
St. Johnstone
STJ
48%
26%
26%
71 70 1 +1
02 Feb. 2013
STM
St. Mirren
2 - 0
St. Johnstone
STJ
50%
24%
26%
72 72 0 -1
30 Jan. 2013
STJ
St. Johnstone
3 - 1
Aberdeen
ABE
45%
27%
28%
71 73 2 +1

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2013
STM
St. Mirren
0 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
54%
24%
22%
73 69 4 0
09 Feb. 2013
ABE
Aberdeen
0 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
43%
28%
29%
73 71 2 0
02 Feb. 2013
STM
St. Mirren
2 - 0
St. Johnstone
STJ
50%
24%
26%
72 72 0 +1
30 Jan. 2013
STM
St. Mirren
2 - 1
Inverness CT
ICT
35%
26%
40%
71 77 6 +1
27 Jan. 2013
STM
St. Mirren
3 - 2
Celtic
CEL
23%
24%
53%
70 83 13 +1