St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
39.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
9º
12º
10º
51
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
STM
4 - 0
STJ
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 0
STJ
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 1
LIV
29%
28%
44%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HIB
2 - 0
STJ
71%
19%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
STJ
0 - 2
GLA
11%
21%
67%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
KIL
2 - 0
ABE
36%
27%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KIL
3 - 1
LIV
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 1
KIL
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 1
STM
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 2
HOM
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |