St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
41.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
9º
12º
10º
51
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
STM
4 - 0
STJ
55%
26%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 0
STJ
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 1
LIV
30%
28%
43%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HIB
2 - 0
STJ
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
STJ
0 - 2
GLA
12%
22%
67%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
KIL
2 - 0
ABE
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KIL
3 - 1
LIV
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 1
KIL
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 1
STM
43%
26%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 2
HOM
39%
25%
37%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |