St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
STJ
1 - 2
STM
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 0
STJ
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
KIL
0 - 1
STJ
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ICT
2 - 1
STJ
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
STJ
0 - 1
DUN
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
KIL
2 - 0
DUN
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
KIL
3 - 0
PAR
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
KIL
0 - 1
STJ
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
HAM
0 - 0
KIL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
KIL
2 - 1
STM
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |