SPL Round 4

St. Johnstone vs Heart of Midlothian analysis

St. Johnstone Heart of Midlothian
65 ELO 83
1% Tilt 3.7%
1216º General ELO ranking 472º
18º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22.2%
St. Johnstone
22.2%
Draw
55.6%
Heart of Midlothian

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
St. Johnstone
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
55.6%
Win probability
Heart of Midlothian
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
St. Johnstone
+8%
+13%
Heart of Midlothian

ELO progression

St. Johnstone
Heart of Midlothian
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St. Johnstone
St. Johnstone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 1964
AIR
Airdrieonians
1 - 2
St. Johnstone
STJ
57%
21%
22%
66 58 8 0
14 Nov. 1964
PAR
Partick Thistle
2 - 2
St. Johnstone
STJ
62%
20%
18%
65 75 10 +1
07 Nov. 1964
STJ
St. Johnstone
3 - 0
Celtic
CEL
22%
23%
55%
64 83 19 +1
31 Oct. 1964
TLA
Third Lanark
0 - 2
St. Johnstone
STJ
66%
18%
15%
63 65 2 +1
24 Oct. 1964
CLY
Clyde
4 - 1
St. Johnstone
STJ
66%
19%
15%
64 68 4 -1

Matches

Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 1964
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
3 - 0
Clyde
CLY
74%
15%
11%
83 69 14 0
14 Nov. 1964
MHE
Motherwell
1 - 3
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
32%
23%
46%
83 74 9 0
07 Nov. 1964
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 2
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
24%
22%
54%
83 66 17 0
31 Oct. 1964
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
4 - 1
Greenock Morton
GRE
77%
14%
9%
83 68 15 0
24 Oct. 1964
DUN
Dundee
1 - 2
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
55%
20%
25%
83 83 0 0