St. Johnstone vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
48.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1964 |
QOS
0 - 3
STJ
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1964 |
STJ
1 - 1
MHE
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1964 |
ABE
0 - 1
STJ
67%
18%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1964 |
STJ
2 - 2
DUN
42%
24%
33%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1963 |
FAL
1 - 1
STJ
59%
22%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1964 |
HOM
4 - 1
FAL
78%
13%
8%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1964 |
HOM
4 - 0
THE
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1964 |
PAR
2 - 1
HOM
36%
23%
41%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1964 |
HOM
2 - 1
DUN
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1964 |
HIB
1 - 1
HOM
31%
23%
46%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |