St. Johnstone vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
STJ
5 - 2
RAI
65%
22%
14%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
STJ
0 - 3
MHE
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
STJ
2 - 2
BRE
63%
22%
16%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2003 |
ICT
1 - 0
STJ
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
STJ
2 - 2
QOS
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
AYR
1 - 2
BRE
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
ROS
1 - 1
AYR
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
ICT
2 - 1
AYR
80%
14%
7%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
AYR
1 - 2
FAL
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
AYR
1 - 1
QOS
29%
25%
47%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |