St. John's vs Providence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. John's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
UCH
0 - 1
STJ
13%
18%
70%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
STJ
2 - 3
STH
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
GTH
1 - 0
STJ
82%
12%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
PFR
0 - 2
STJ
60%
20%
21%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
STJ
0 - 1
VLV
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Providence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
GTH
3 - 0
PFR
78%
13%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
PFR
2 - 0
VLV
64%
19%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
STH
2 - 1
PFR
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
PFR
0 - 2
STJ
60%
20%
21%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
PFR
0 - 0
GTH
18%
19%
63%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |