St. Johann vs Kitzbühel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
11º
10º
24
7º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
57.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
6º
|
35.5% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
86% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
IMS
2 - 0
STJ
79%
13%
7%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
STJ
1 - 1
PIN
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
STJ
4 - 2
TSV
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
GRO
2 - 2
STJ
35%
24%
41%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
STJ
2 - 1
PIN
34%
27%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
KIT
1 - 2
HOH
16%
21%
64%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BIS
2 - 2
KIT
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
KIT
1 - 2
KUF
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 0
KIT
52%
23%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KIT
1 - 3
DOR
16%
22%
62%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |