St George Willawong vs The Lakes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
MGH
2 - 1
GEO
9%
14%
77%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
GEO
0 - 3
BAY
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
STO
3 - 3
GEO
7%
12%
81%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
GEO
3 - 0
GAP
93%
6%
2%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
WES
0 - 4
GEO
5%
11%
83%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
The Lakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
TLA
1 - 3
BAY
62%
19%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 2
TLA
10%
15%
75%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
ALB
9 - 0
TLA
66%
19%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
TLA
3 - 1
BRK
86%
9%
5%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
TLA
2 - 0
MGH
88%
8%
4%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |