St George Willawong vs The Gap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.4%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.7%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
+6
7.2%
5-0
9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
5.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.5%
1.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
WES
0 - 4
GEO
5%
11%
83%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
GEO
5 - 1
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
TOO
1 - 5
GEO
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BRK
0 - 4
GEO
11%
15%
74%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
GEO
4 - 1
STO
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
The Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
GAP
0 - 1
BAY
11%
16%
73%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 4
GAP
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
GAP
0 - 3
ALB
5%
10%
85%
|
12 | 43 | 31 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
TLA
2 - 1
GAP
92%
6%
2%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
GAP
0 - 5
WES
48%
20%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |