St. Gallen vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
10%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 1
STG
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
STG
1 - 4
SCF
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
STG
0 - 0
GCZ
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
FCA
0 - 1
STG
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2001 |
SCF
0 - 1
STG
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
FCL
2 - 6
SIO
30%
26%
45%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
SER
2 - 0
FCL
71%
17%
11%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
YOB
5 - 1
FCL
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2001 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCA
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
FCL
2 - 1
GCZ
16%
21%
62%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |