St. Gallen vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 2
STG
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
STG
1 - 2
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
YOB
2 - 0
STG
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
STG
2 - 0
SCA
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
DYN
0 - 2
STG
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 1
LUG
1%
4%
95%
|
77 | 12 | 65 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 0
GCZ
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 0
SIO
44%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 1
LUG
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LUG
4 - 0
WIL
79%
15%
7%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |