St. Gallen vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
STG
2 - 3
VCF
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LAU
0 - 3
STG
18%
24%
58%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 2
STG
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
STG
0 - 0
THU
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
VCF
5 - 1
STG
76%
16%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 1
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 2
STG
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
YOB
3 - 0
FCA
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FCA
5 - 1
ZUR
30%
24%
47%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
STG
1 - 0
FCA
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |