St. Gallen vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2000 |
STG
2 - 1
FCL
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 0
STG
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2000 |
STG
1 - 1
GCZ
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2000 |
LAU
1 - 3
STG
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2000 |
STG
0 - 0
SER
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2000 |
FCA
0 - 2
LUG
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
SER
2 - 1
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2000 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
FCA
3 - 1
SIO
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
BAD
1 - 3
FCA
29%
26%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |