St Francis vs Northern Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Francis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
COT
2 - 1
STF
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
STF
1 - 0
RUF
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
STF
1 - 3
PAS
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
LSU
2 - 0
STF
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
LSU
1 - 0
STF
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
NDY
3 - 2
LIG
43%
23%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MIC
4 - 0
NDY
59%
21%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
RUF
1 - 3
NDY
51%
22%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
ARE
2 - 1
NDY
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
NDY
1 - 1
ARE
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |