Union St. Florian vs Bad Aussee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union St. Florian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
STF
0 - 0
KLA
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SVL
1 - 2
STF
43%
25%
33%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
STF
1 - 1
WEL
34%
24%
41%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
STU
0 - 3
STF
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
STF
0 - 2
FCB
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Bad Aussee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
AUS
0 - 3
SVL
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
WEL
5 - 0
AUS
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
AUS
3 - 0
STU
19%
23%
58%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +6 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
AUS
0 - 9
WAC
27%
27%
47%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -3 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
FCB
0 - 0
AUS
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |