SSV Merten vs Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
2º
9º
2º
35
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSV Merten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FVE
0 - 1
MER
16%
18%
66%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MER
1 - 2
H05
65%
18%
17%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SIE
2 - 4
MER
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
USC
69%
16%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
HUR
2 - 3
MER
24%
22%
55%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
H05
0 - 1
SCF
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SCF
6 - 0
USC
68%
17%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SPV
4 - 3
SCF
23%
20%
57%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 2
SPF
56%
22%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VFL
1 - 3
SCF
52%
21%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |