3. Liga Round 27

Jahn Regensburg vs Zwickau analysis

Jahn Regensburg Zwickau
64 ELO 62
11.2% Tilt 5.3%
1197º General ELO ranking 2233º
60º Country ELO ranking 94º
ELO win probability
56.3%
Jahn Regensburg
23.4%
Draw
20.3%
Zwickau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
Jahn Regensburg
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.3%
Win probability
Zwickau
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jahn Regensburg
-5%
+5%
Zwickau

ELO progression

Jahn Regensburg
Zwickau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jahn Regensburg
Jahn Regensburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2017
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
2 - 2
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
35%
27%
39%
64 59 5 0
04 Mar. 2017
SSV
Jahn Regensburg
2 - 0
Sportfreunde Lotte
SPO
42%
26%
32%
63 66 3 +1
25 Feb. 2017
VFR
VfR Aalen
1 - 2
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
43%
28%
29%
62 66 4 +1
18 Feb. 2017
SSV
Jahn Regensburg
2 - 1
FSV Frankfurt
FSV
42%
26%
33%
62 65 3 0
11 Feb. 2017
HAL
Hallescher FC
1 - 1
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
51%
25%
24%
61 65 4 +1

Matches

Zwickau
Zwickau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2017
ZWI
Zwickau
1 - 0
Chemnitzer
CHE
32%
27%
41%
60 67 7 0
04 Mar. 2017
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1 - 3
Zwickau
ZWI
48%
27%
26%
59 60 1 +1
26 Feb. 2017
ZWI
Zwickau
1 - 0
Holstein Kiel
HOL
30%
28%
42%
58 68 10 +1
18 Feb. 2017
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
3 - 0
Zwickau
ZWI
42%
28%
30%
59 59 0 -1
11 Feb. 2017
ZWI
Zwickau
2 - 1
Werder Bremen II
WER
39%
26%
35%
59 59 0 0