Bornheim vs SpVgg Frechen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bornheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
SPI
4 - 3
BOR
37%
22%
42%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 3
PES
19%
19%
63%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SVD
4 - 1
BOR
47%
21%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BOR
4 - 2
SVS
63%
19%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SHN
3 - 5
BOR
72%
15%
13%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SPF
4 - 1
SIE
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
HUR
2 - 3
SPF
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SPF
2 - 1
PES
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
KON
2 - 0
SPF
45%
26%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SPF
2 - 2
TWE
64%
19%
18%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | +1 |