Zvezda Perm II vs Irtysh Omsk II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
58.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
9º
10º
9º
13
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 17 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvezda Perm II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
TOB
3 - 0
SZP
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SZP
1 - 3
UFA
14%
17%
69%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FTM
0 - 2
SZP
16%
17%
67%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SZP
1 - 4
FII
7%
13%
80%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FKT
4 - 0
SZP
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Irtysh Omsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
IRT
0 - 2
SKO
61%
19%
20%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
IRT
3 - 0
FAS
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
FKT
4 - 0
IRT
49%
22%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 0
IRT
53%
20%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
IRT
3 - 1
UFA
23%
20%
57%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +2 |