Marignanese vs Fiorenzuola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
50%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
ACA
27%
22%
51%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SER
1 - 0
MAR
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FIO
3 - 1
PRO
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ACP
1 - 0
FIO
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 0
FIO
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FIO
0 - 1
CAL
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
USD
2 - 1
FIO
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |