Tivoli vs Nola 1925 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
16º
14º
32
6º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 48 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
32 | 33 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
23% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
77% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 84.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
CSO
1 - 0
SSD
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 0
SSD
25%
21%
54%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SSD
1 - 1
APR
74%
16%
11%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ACC
1 - 0
SSD
21%
20%
59%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SSD
0 - 1
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nola 1925
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
HYR
1 - 1
SSC
35%
24%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LRO
3 - 0
HYR
45%
23%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HYR
2 - 2
PAG
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CSO
4 - 1
HYR
42%
22%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ASI
3 - 2
HYR
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |