Real Calepina vs US Breno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
48.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
CAL
75%
14%
11%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
LEO
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
VCB
0 - 3
CAL
71%
17%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 3
SON
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 3
CAL
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 4
USB
23%
21%
56%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
USB
1 - 1
CAS
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
USB
2 - 3
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 1
USB
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
USB
2 - 3
USP
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |