Città di Castello vs Sansepolcro Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
58.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SSD
1 - 1
SAS
21%
24%
55%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 3
SSD
42%
26%
32%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SSD
0 - 1
LAN
18%
21%
61%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ARZ
5 - 0
SSD
81%
14%
5%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SSD
1 - 3
RIE
9%
18%
74%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Sansepolcro Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
ARZ
25%
27%
49%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SAS
0 - 0
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 3
OST
33%
26%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LAN
3 - 1
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
LAQ
26%
26%
48%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |