Città di Castello vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
50.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 0
SSD
42%
24%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 1
ARZ
29%
26%
45%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
RIE
3 - 1
SSD
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 0
OST
29%
26%
46%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MON
0 - 0
SSD
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 0
SAN
70%
18%
13%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAS
1 - 3
FOL
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 0
MUR
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ARZ
1 - 1
FOL
53%
24%
23%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
GRO
5 - 1
FOL
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |