Città di Castello vs AS Sestese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 2
SSD
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SSD
1 - 2
FLA
53%
24%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
SSD
3 - 1
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 1
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ACM
1 - 1
SSD
24%
25%
52%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
AS Sestese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 1
SCA
41%
26%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ACM
3 - 2
ASS
34%
26%
40%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 0
SAN
24%
26%
50%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DER
1 - 2
ASS
51%
25%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ORV
1 - 0
ASS
49%
25%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |