Virtus Lanciano vs Sora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
FCC
1 - 0
VIR
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 1
VIT
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
USF
0 - 1
VIR
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 0
TAR
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIR
38%
29%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
SOR
2 - 1
CRO
22%
27%
51%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
BEN
2 - 0
SOR
51%
25%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
SOR
1 - 0
LAQ
52%
26%
22%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
VIS
0 - 0
SOR
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
SOR
2 - 1
PAT
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |