Virtus Lanciano vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CAV
0 - 0
VIR
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 0
SIR
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TER
0 - 0
VIR
43%
28%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 0
ASA
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
JUS
1 - 0
VIR
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NUO
2 - 0
GEL
67%
20%
12%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 0
NUO
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NUO
1 - 1
NOC
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2011 |
BEN
3 - 1
NUO
60%
23%
16%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
NUO
1 - 1
SSB
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |