Virtus Lanciano vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FRO
2 - 1
VIR
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 2
VAR
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 1
VIR
50%
27%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
VIR
3 - 0
CAT
34%
28%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 2
BOL
35%
29%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TER
2 - 1
BRE
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BRE
3 - 0
ACD
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
LIV
4 - 2
BRE
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BRE
3 - 1
FRO
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
AVE
2 - 0
BRE
45%
28%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |